Social vulnerability amplifies the disparate impact of mobility on COVID19 transmissibility across
Social vulnerability amplifies the disparate impact of mobility on COVID-19 transmissibility across the United States
However, it is actually a mass level, for example, a mass level, for example, at a mass-level area, for example, in a area where the migration of people is actually fresh. The vulnerability remains unknown or affects this relevance. Here, using many epidemiological and social and economic data in the U. S. districts, we come up with a vulnerability indicator (CPVI) for Pandemia Cobid-19 to quantify the importance of its social vulnerability. We studied how the vulnerability is eased. The impact of migration in the transmission of disease from June to August, which was popular in the United States, (represented by the effective breeding volume R.tFrom June to August, 2020 trendy waves in the United States. As a result, the environment of UPPER QUINTYLE CPVI injury has almost doubled (45, 02% of days per R (45, 02% of).tThe degree of movement, especially the introduction part, is higher than the environment of about 5 minutes (21, 90 %). In this difference, the degree of mobility did not affect the prefecture in the low CPVI group. Therefore, 25 %, the change in mobility from the environment was associated with the change of R at 15 and 28 %.tThe top 5 minutes CPVI counties are actually 81 on R, 1, 81 %.tChanged. These results have stated that in the future, the need to take the community vulnerabilities in consideration of the means of transporting public distance.
Similar content being viewed by others
Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China
April 29, 2020 ArticleInterregional mobility in different age groups is associated with COVID-19 transmission in the Taipei metropolitan area, Taiwan
October 12, 2023Mobility restrictions were associated with reductions in COVID-19 incidence early in the pandemic: evidence from a real-time evaluation in 34 countries
July 2, 2021Introduction
The pandemic of the new colon virus infection (COVID-19) has a deep impact on the lives of people around the world (Bonaccorsi et al, 2020; Given (Un, 2020; Buckee et a l-Album.) Financial and social destructive results, which are caused by pandemic, research the factors of past infections to make effective prevention strategies in the future. I strongly seek what to do. < Span> However, it is a mass level, for example, a mass level, for example, like a district that contains a decisive meaning to spread the migration of people, which is actually fresh. Until the public vulnerability affects this relevance, it remains unknown. Here, using many epidemiological and social and economic data in the U. S. districts, we come up with a vulnerability indicator (CPVI) for Pandemia Cobid-19 to quantify the importance of its social vulnerability. We studied how the vulnerability is eased. The impact of migration in the transmission of disease from June to August, which was popular in the United States, (represented by the effective breeding volume R.
From June to August, 2020 trendy waves in the United States. As a result, the environment of UPPER QUINTYLE CPVI injury has almost doubled (45, 02% of days per R (45, 02% of).
The degree of movement, especially the introduction part, is higher than the environment of about 5 minutes (21, 90 %). In this difference, the degree of mobility did not affect the prefecture in the low CPVI group. Therefore, 25 %, the change in mobility from the environment was associated with the change of R at 15 and 28 %.
The top 5 minutes CPVI counties are actually 81 on R, 1, 81 %.
Changed. These results have stated that in the future, the need to take the community vulnerabilities in consideration of the means of transporting public distance.
April 29, 2020 ArticletOctober 12, 2023
Methods
COVID-19 cases
July 2, 2021
County attribute data
Population mobility data
The pandemic of the new colon virus infection (COVID-19) has a deep impact on the lives of people around the world (Bonaccorsi et al, 2020; Given (Un, 2020; Buckee et a l-Album.) Financial and social destructive results, which are caused by pandemic, research the factors of past infections to make effective prevention strategies in the future. I strongly seek what to do. However, it is actually a mass level, for example, a mass level, for example, at a mass-level area, for example, in a area where the migration of people is actually fresh. The vulnerability remains unknown or affects this relevance. Here, using many epidemiological and social and economic data in the U. S. districts, we come up with a vulnerability indicator (CPVI) for Pandemia Cobid-19 to quantify the importance of its social vulnerability. We studied how the vulnerability is eased. The impact of migration in the transmission of disease from June to August, which was popular in the United States, (represented by the effective breeding volume R.
From June to August, 2020 trendy waves in the United States. As a result, the environment of UPPER QUINTYLE CPVI injury has almost doubled (45, 02% of days per R (45, 02% of).
The degree of movement, especially the introduction part, is higher than the environment of about 5 minutes (21, 90 %). In this difference, the degree of mobility did not affect the prefecture in the low CPVI group. Thus, 25 %, the changes in mobility from the environment were associated with the change of R at 15 and 28 %.\rm>In the top fiv e-minute CPVI county, in fact, 81 % R of 1, 81 %< 1 indicates a decrease.
Changed. These results have stated that in the future, the need to take the community vulnerabilities in consideration of the means of transporting public distance.
April 29, 2020 Article\text>October 12, 2023
Setting and selection of study participants
July 2, 2021
The pandemic of the new colon virus infection (COVID-19) has a deep impact on the lives of people around the world (Bonaccorsi et al, 2020; Given (Un, 2020; Buckee et a l-Album.) Financial and social destructive results, which are caused by pandemic, research the factors of past infections to make effective prevention strategies in the future. I strongly seek what to do.
Construction of the CPVI
The main transmission route of Coronovirus 2-Loom acute respiratory syndrome (SARS-COV-2) is considered to be direct material contact, splash or aerosol, so in spatial and time propagation of this disease. The movement of a person is extremely important (KRAEMER et al., 2020; Huang et al., 2021). In other words, the movement directly promotes the spread of infection through contact with the public. However, all types of public groups, such as income, employment, and age, are not only social and economic resources, but also all of the abilities and model strengths, such as movement, behavior, and life types, all of them change from illness. Have an opportunity. In this way, it is considered difficult to interact with public vulnerabilities, mobility, and infection propagation, and from the waves of COVID-19 and other decades of social health management. It is urgently necessary to take these connections in order to take appropriate social health and public defense measures. < SPAN> Coronovirus 2-Loom 2-Loom acute respiratory syndrome (SARS-COV-2) is the spatial and time of this disease because it is considered to be direct material contact, splash or aerosol. The movement of people is extremely important for propagation (KRAEMER et al., 2020; Huang et al., 2021). In other words, the movement directly promotes the spread of infection through contact with the public. However, all types of public groups, such as income, employment, and age, are not only social and economic resources, but also all of the abilities and model strengths, such as movement, behavior, and life types, all of them change from illness. Have an opportunity. In this way, it is considered difficult to interact with public vulnerabilities, mobility, and infection propagation, and from the waves of COVID-19 and other decades of social health management. It is urgently necessary to take these connections in order to take appropriate social health and public defense measures. The main transmission route of Coronovirus 2-Loom acute respiratory syndrome (SARS-COV-2) is considered to be direct material contact, splash or aerosol, so in spatial and time propagation of this disease. The movement of a person is extremely important (KRAEMER et al., 2020; Huang et al., 2021). In other words, the movement directly promotes the spread of infection through contact with the public. However, all types of public groups, such as income, employment, and age, are not only social and economic resources, but also all of the abilities and model strengths, such as movement, behavior, and life types, all of them change from illness. Have an opportunity. In this way, it is considered difficult to interact with public vulnerabilities, mobility, and infection propagation, and from the waves of COVID-19 and other decades of social health management. It is urgently necessary to take these connections in order to take appropriate social health and public defense measures.
Next, one COVID-19 occurred in Juan, China. Many studies have gained the support of anonymous collective data from mobile phone vehicles and examined the impact of mobility on the propagation of COVID-19 (BUCKEE ET AL, 2020; 25 COVID-19's propagation rate near the United States. The impact of the movement (Badr et al., 2020) was also evaluated, and it was also revealed that the US (US) mobility in More Affected Vicinities and the propagation rate of COVID-19 were also strong. Similar strong correlation was confirmed (GAO et al.) These results are to suppress the transmission of the disease, such as waiting at home, closing secondary education institutions and workplaces, restrictions on moving to a distance. As of July 2021, the reason why it was accepted as the main no n-drug intervention (NSA) was announced in the last measure of one internal politician in the mobile regulation. The nation was still using international politicians (Hale et al.) These mobile regulation measures have a major effect, and the initial mobile regulatory measures later reduced microorganisms in a state of 73 % (Nouvellet et al. ) Based on the location information of mobile phones in the Fukasen (China), one of the two COVID-19 research in Juan in China has occurred. With support, the impact of the mobility of COVID-19 (BUCKEE ET AL, 2020; 25; 25; 25 is the impact of the transfer rate of COVID-19 (Badr et al., 2020). It was evaluated that the US (US) More Affected Vicinities has a strong correlation at the US level in the US level (GAO et al.). These results are reason why the decrease in transportation means, such as waiting at home, closing secondary educational institutions and workplaces, and restrictions on moving far away, was accepted as the main no n-drug intervention (NSA) to suppress disease propagation. As of July 2021, 186 nations were announced in the last measure of one internal politician in mobile regulations (HALE ET). AL.) These mobile regulation measures have a significant effect, based on the location information of the mobile phone in the state of 73 % (Nouvellet et al.) Deep Sen (China). Configuration, one COVID-19 occurred in Juan, China. Many studies have gained the support of anonymous collective data from mobile phone vehicles and examined the impact of mobility on the propagation of COVID-19 (BUCKEE ET AL, 2020; 25 COVID-19's propagation rate near the United States. The impact of the movement (Badr et al., 2020) was also evaluated, and it was also revealed that the US (US) mobility in More Affected Vicinities and the propagation rate of COVID-19 were also strong. Similar strong correlation was confirmed (GAO et al.) These results are to suppress the transmission of the disease, such as waiting at home, closing secondary education institutions and workplaces, restrictions on moving to a distance. As of July 2021, the reason why it was accepted as the main no n-drug intervention (NSA) was announced in the last measure of one internal politician in the mobile regulation. The nation was still using international politicians (Hale et al.) These mobile regulation measures have a major effect, and the initial mobile regulatory measures later reduced microorganisms in a state of 73 % (Nouvellet et al. Composition based on the location information of the mobile phone in Shenzhen (China)
However, in a wide range of documents, the impact of mobility on the dynamics of microbial propagation, this relevance is adjusted by public vulnerabilities, and the levels that differ from geographical regions and different social groups are literally unraveled. It is still. Most of the research is spending on the relationship between vulnerability and mobility, and the results of various pandemic and various pandemic. For example, a decrease in income due to income at the isolation stage (Bennett, 2021; Hou et al, 2021), change in income from income (Rufat et al, 2015; eligron et al Al, 2021), and an age structure (GU et al, 2020; SNYDER and PARKS, 2020), which conditional infection and death values. However, this research results does not take into account the different impact of mobility to infected dynamics associated with public vulnerabilities, that is, how public vulnerability affects mobility relation and infection. 。 It turns out that the only relevance between movement and infection propagation in different environments, different soci o-economic status is not a basis for developing precautionary measures (Gozzi et al.) Recognizing the impact may contribute to the police and the government. < SPAN> However, in a wide range of documents, it is literally literally regarding the impact of mobility on the dynamics of microbial propagation, and the relevance of this relevance by public vulnerabilities, and different levels depending on geographical areas and different social groups. It remains unraveled. Most of the research is spending on the relationship between vulnerability and mobility, and the results of various pandemic and various pandemic. For example, a decrease in income due to income at the isolation stage (Bennett, 2021; Hou et al, 2021), change in income from income (Rufat et al, 2015; eligron et al Al, 2021), and an age structure (GU et al, 2020; SNYDER and PARKS, 2020), which conditional infection and death values. However, this research results does not take into account the different impact of mobility to infected dynamics associated with public vulnerabilities, that is, how public vulnerability affects mobility relation and infection. 。 It turns out that the only relevance between movement and infection propagation in different environments, different soci o-economic status is not a basis for developing precautionary measures (Gozzi et al.) Recognizing the impact may contribute to the police and the government. However, in a wide range of documents, the impact of mobility on the dynamics of microbial propagation, this relevance is adjusted by public vulnerabilities, and the levels that differ from geographical regions and different social groups are literally unraveled. It is still. Most of the research is spending on the relationship between vulnerability and mobility, and the results of various pandemic and various pandemic. For example, a decrease in income due to income at the isolation stage (Bennett, 2021; Hou et al, 2021), change in income from income (Rufat et al, 2015; eligron et al Al, 2021), and an age structure (GU et al, 2020; SNYDER and PARKS, 2020), which conditional infection and death values. However, this research results does not take into account the different impact of mobility to infected dynamics associated with public vulnerabilities, that is, how public vulnerability affects mobility relation and infection. 。 It turns out that the only relevance between movement and infection propagation in different environments, different soci o-economic status is not a basis for developing precautionary measures (Gozzi et al.) Recognizing the impact may contribute to the police and the government.There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. There is a possibility that the hypothesis is verified and the internal consistency of the indicators may be frozen < Span> A attempt to build a multi-dimensional vulnerability indicator (more detailed information is supplementary information. See, for example, in a group of research, select appropriate variables using the framework of classical social vulnerability (ACHARYA and Bostwick, 2020; 2020; Parks, 2020; Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; For example, Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerabilities and classify the County in the United States. The indicators built are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data based on this data can be literally predicted. , The theoretical hypothesis may be frozen due to the limits of internal consistency of indicators. There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. It may be frozen due to the limits of hypotheses and internal consistency of indicators.This approval study was examined about the transmission of COVID-19 microorganisms in various US environments, and was affected by the composition of population movement, eventually the political value implemented by the state and county authorities. First, with the help of the normal component analysis (PCA), the COVID-19 pandemic vulnerability index (CPVI) (CPVI) in the United States County was created with the help of the normal component analysis (PCA) using the population census data. The CPVI was built based on the reputation SOVI system (CDC, 2020) developed by the CDC (Central for Disease Control and Prevention Center). In addition to the four scale of SOVI, other items related to pandemic are also integrated, and only the wellbies around the environment are integrated. This is because some studies have a different effect on these momentum on the spread of Covid-19 (kin (kin et al., 2020;), and five environments. It is assumed that the top 20 % of the area is a more vulnerable group by connecting the movement and vulnerabilities by linking the upper 20 % area. In the fifth-minute), it is possible to control the difference in the degree of movement to the COVID-19 infection.
) Is evaluated and verified. The demonstration result shows that there is a good chance that actual mobility measures will be sold, and in consideration of the value of the vulnerability, the environment will actually contribute to the more effective deterrence of COVID-19.COVID-19 and statistical data on the general public were obtained from the USAFACTS used by the US Disease Control Prevention Center. This datakit describes the number of accumulated cases of each day and the number of cumulative deaths due to COVID-19 in each environment. Uploaded case data from January 22, 2020 to September 1, 2020, and calculated the number of new cases for each day during this period.Population transfer data was first collected by the Safegraph program. This program tracks the movement line of one million anonymous mobile phone terminal users, and will generate a line of people's jokes from the starting point to the fate space (O-D) every day on a scale in the United States. 。 We have acquired O-D data from January 1, 2020 to September 1, 2020, and these data are additional processed and can be used in KANG et al. (2020).
Using the O-D data kit, it was demanded to end the population inflow (INFLOW T), the outflow T (Outflow T), and the end of the Intraflow T (Intraflow T) in each environment of each T-day. As a reference value, the average significance of population movement from January 1, 2020 to January 21, 2020 before Outbreak in the United States. In this way, the intramic configuration of all prefectures during outbreaks will be revealed in all possibilities:
Here, INTRAM (& amp; gt; _i^t) = \ Frac & amp; gt; gt; gt; _i^t & amp; gt; gt; gt; gt; gt; gt; _I^& amp; gt;<><<\mathop <\sum>Here, Intram (& amp; amp; gt; _i^t) is the day composition rate of Intram on the day T-day, Intram (& amp; amp; gt; _i^t) is Intram, & amp; gt on the T-day. ; _i^t) means the average daily meaning of the basic period. Intrum T & amp; amp; gt; 1 means that the intrams are increasing compared to the base time, during this time, during this time.Similarly, we calculated the date of the interim-configuration of each environment, but this has the potential to appear in the form of coming:COVID-19 and statistical data on the general public were obtained from the USAFACTS used by the US Disease Control Prevention Center. This datakit describes the number of accumulated cases of each day and the number of cumulative deaths due to COVID-19 in each environment. Uploaded case data from January 22, 2020 to September 1, 2020, and calculated the number of new cases for each day during this period.Here, ¢ (& amp; amp; gt; _i^t ¢) means the configuration rate between the T-day of environmental I, and the molecule is necessary from the I prefecture until the day of T days. In other words, the denominator means a daily average significance of the amount of money for funds for the standard period from the prefecture I.COVID-19 and statistical data on the general public were obtained from the USAFACTS used by the US Disease Control Prevention Center. This datakit describes the number of accumulated cases of each day and the number of cumulative deaths due to COVID-19 in each environment. Uploaded case data from January 22, 2020 to September 1, 2020, and calculated the number of new cases for each day during this period.As an appropriate perspective of choosing a prefecture, the area around the United States except Alaska and Hawaii, areas where Civid 19 disease cases have never been recorded on June 1, 2020, from June 1, 2020. On August 31, 2020, the average daily case was recorded. The prefecture with at least the first option was excluded on average three days. As a result, 1118 (3143), 257. 867. 883, 78, 56 % of the United States's total population, and the total number of cases proved to be illuminated in this setting on September 1, 2020. , 980. 400, that is, 82, 75 % of the total number. This area is located in 46 states in the United States and Washington, a special Colombia ward.
The main strategy was used in the central code in the United States, which was used in US central cords to build indicators of vulnerability in COVID-19 (Acharya and Porwal, 2020; Marvel et al.). It is in the combination of other points that are closely related to the pandemic of COVID-19 (such as epidemiological moments and medical systems).
Our CPVI selects the four indicators used in soVi (Spielman et al. 2020) and linked the moment of epidemiological and medical systems to the indicators of public vulnerabilities. It is created. Of the 15 variables of SOVI, 8 variables (elderly people, population accessories, groups, lo w-educated, income, poverty, unemployment) and 9 epidemiological variable medical systems (smoking, diabetes, ischemic heart disease, hypertension, air pollution, this process , The contribution of each indicator and the components can be examined, and the internal consistency and reliability of CPVI can be examined (Spielman et al.)\text>Balimax rotation matrix (PC with a personal value of HALKO et al. or more (HALKO et al. It should be left (BRO AND SMILDE, 2014) is used to calculate the points of the PC on the collection. Be
Calculation of R I
Classified as:IJ.IThe weight coefficient of the contribution of each su b-component is calculated as follows depending on the ratio of the contribution:I\ nolimits_^m & amp; amp; gt; & amp; amp; gt;IJ.IJ.
Shows the contribution of the J-number sub component.Iamp; gt; = Massop limit _^m $ITITITITIT
As amp; gt; 1, each infected person may be infected with multiple people on average, and the number of infected people may increase in exponential functions. If REquivalent to.<
>$$
U using the approach developed by Bettencourt and Ribeiro (2008)IUsed a method developed by Bettencourt and Ribeiro (2008) to calculate (Bettencourt and Ribeiro, 2008). By adding the confirmed case every day, RITherefore rICan be evaluated. Further rIIt is related to the value of.
T
As amp; gt; 1, each infected person may be infected with multiple people on average, and the number of infected people may increase in exponential functions. If RUse of new cases reported every day:I\ Right) = Frac
\ p ret (right) & amp; amp; gt; & amp; amp; gt ;.TIT
As amp; gt; 1, each infected person may be infected with multiple people on average, and the number of infected people may increase in exponential functions. If RFixed effect model
) -To these are p (r)
T
), P (k) is the probability of observing a new case of K on T on this day.If the average new patient reception rate λ per day is given, the probability of observing the new patient in the K is compatible with the Poisson distribution: P-Left (IThat is, RIf the average new patient reception rate λ per day is given, the probability of observing the new patient in the K is compatible with the Poisson distribution:And λ have the following relationship:If the average new patient reception rate λ per day is given, the probability of observing the new patient in the K is compatible with the Poisson distribution:\ Right) & amp; amp; gt; $ $There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. There is a possibility that the hypothesis is verified and the internal consistency of the indicators may be frozen < Span> A attempt to build a multi-dimensional vulnerability indicator (more detailed information is supplementary information. See, for example, in a group of research, select appropriate variables using the framework of classical social vulnerability (ACHARYA and Bostwick, 2020; 2020; Parks, 2020; Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; For example, Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerabilities and classify the County in the United States. The indicators built are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data based on this data can be literally predicted. , The theoretical hypothesis may be frozen due to the limits of internal consistency of indicators. There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. It may be frozen due to the limits of hypotheses and internal consistency of indicators.TIf the average new patient reception rate λ per day is given, the probability of observing the new patient in the K is compatible with the Poisson distribution:P left (leftThere is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. There is a possibility that the hypothesis is verified and the internal consistency of the indicators may be frozen < Span> A attempt to build a multi-dimensional vulnerability indicator (more detailed information is supplementary information. See, for example, in a group of research, select appropriate variables using the framework of classical social vulnerability (ACHARYA and Bostwick, 2020; 2020; Parks, 2020; Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; For example, Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerabilities and classify the County in the United States. The indicators built are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data based on this data can be literally predicted. , The theoretical hypothesis may be frozen due to the limits of internal consistency of indicators. There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. It may be frozen due to the limits of hypotheses and internal consistency of indicators.And λ have the following relationship:If the average new patient reception rate λ per day is given, the probability of observing the new patient in the K is compatible with the Poisson distribution:P left (leftThere is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. There is a possibility that the hypothesis is verified and the internal consistency of the indicators may be frozen < Span> A attempt to build a multi-dimensional vulnerability indicator (more detailed information is supplementary information. See, for example, in a group of research, select appropriate variables using the framework of classical social vulnerability (ACHARYA and Bostwick, 2020; 2020; Parks, 2020; Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; For example, Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerabilities and classify the County in the United States. The indicators built are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data based on this data can be literally predicted. , The theoretical hypothesis may be frozen due to the limits of internal consistency of indicators. There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. It may be frozen due to the limits of hypotheses and internal consistency of indicators.Subsbarized variables showing propagation by COVID-19 (R)There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. There is a possibility that the hypothesis is verified and the internal consistency of the indicators may be frozen < Span> A attempt to build a multi-dimensional vulnerability indicator (more detailed information is supplementary information. See, for example, in a group of research, select appropriate variables using the framework of classical social vulnerability (ACHARYA and Bostwick, 2020; 2020; Parks, 2020; Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; For example, Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerabilities and classify the County in the United States. The indicators built are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data based on this data can be literally predicted. , The theoretical hypothesis may be frozen due to the limits of internal consistency of indicators. There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. It may be frozen due to the limits of hypotheses and internal consistency of indicators.) Intra crackIf the average new patient reception rate λ per day is given, the probability of observing the new patient in the K is compatible with the Poisson distribution:and1this2Each represents the tw o-dimensional mobility of Intram and Interm.4this5Is an interaction between the perpetual vulnerability index of COVID-19, the degree of movement and the vulnerability index (Intram)
Is shown.
*CPVI
And INTERM
It is.There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. There is a possibility that the hypothesis is verified and the internal consistency of the indicators may be frozen < Span> A attempt to build a multi-dimensional vulnerability indicator (more detailed information is supplementary information. See, for example, in a group of research, select appropriate variables using the framework of classical social vulnerability (ACHARYA and Bostwick, 2020; 2020; Parks, 2020; Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; For example, Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerabilities and classify the County in the United States. The indicators built are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data based on this data can be literally predicted. , The theoretical hypothesis may be frozen due to the limits of internal consistency of indicators. There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. It may be frozen due to the limits of hypotheses and internal consistency of indicators.IThere is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. There is a possibility that the hypothesis is verified and the internal consistency of the indicators may be frozen < Span> A attempt to build a multi-dimensional vulnerability indicator (more detailed information is supplementary information. See, for example, in a group of research, select appropriate variables using the framework of classical social vulnerability (ACHARYA and Bostwick, 2020; 2020; Parks, 2020; Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; For example, Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerabilities and classify the County in the United States. The indicators built are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data based on this data can be literally predicted. , The theoretical hypothesis may be frozen due to the limits of internal consistency of indicators. There is an attempt to build a multi-dimensional COVID-19 vulnerability indicator (see supplementary materials for more detailed information). For example, a group study shows the appropriate variable using the framework of classical social vulnerabilities (ACHARYA and PORWAL, 2020; Kim and Bostwick, 2020; Macharia et al., 2020; Snyder and Parks, 2020 Daras et al., 2021; Sarkar and Chouhan, 2021; Qiao and Huang, 2022; , Tiwari et al. (2021) created a COVID-19 vulnerability index using a random forest, and is constructed using machine learning compared to a classic method based on a different vulnerability level. The indicators are less likely to be restricted by classical statistical doctrine, and the excellent characteristics of this data may be more likely to predict the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in society. It may be frozen due to the limits of hypotheses and internal consistency of indicators.I
Results
COVID-19 pandemic vulnerability index
Indicates an inseparable and inseparable immutable factor that can be observed (other than vulnerability) that affects the broadcast possibility of COVID-19; μ
this isThe rest depends on time and personal characteristics. β s-regression coefficient, β
And β
The main effect of moving to transmission, β
And β
Indicates the size of the vulnerability lag.
Variation in COVID-19 transmissibility across different vulnerability levels
Take the average value on both sides as follows:Igt; _i + excess & amp; amp; gt; gt; gt; _5 excess & amp; gt; gt; gtIThus, all factors, including the COVID-19 CPVI vulnerability index, are unchanged over time.IAnd other observation and no n-observable factors ZIDraw. Only the difference between the transmission remains, and the difference in the means of transportation and the interaction. < SPAN>, that is, rIAnd λ have the following relationship:
λ = k_.\ Right) & amp; amp; gt; $ $ITIP left (left
P ret (& amp; amp; gt; & amp; gt; gt; gt; amp; gt; gt; gt; gt; gt; gt; gt; amp; right; right) = FracIThe degree of movement and the return of infection propagation in time T are as follows:Here
teethSubsbarized variables showing propagation by COVID-19 (R)
Variations in mobility recovery across different vulnerability levels
T
) Intra crackthis
and
this
The effect of mobility on R I under varying vulnerability levels
IIIs shown.
*CPVI< 0.05).
IIIt is.< 0.05) (Table 3), implying that an increase in both InterM and IntraM would increase the R Use *.I
) Is a gentle effect of vulnerabilities.
IIthis is< 0.05) (Table 3). Figure 6 shows the effects of IntraM and InterM on R IAnd βIAnd βITake the average value on both sides as follows:Igt; _i + excess & amp; amp; gt; gt; gt; _5 excess & amp; gt; gt; gtIThus, all factors, including the COVID-19 CPVI vulnerability index, are unchanged over time.
III
Draw. Only the difference between the transmission remains, and the difference in the means of transportation and the interaction. That is, R
TIλ = k_.
\ Right) & amp; amp; gt; $ $
Discussion and conclusion
Here, L is the reverse number of i n-line interval, and the values of the series intervals are reliability because the number of newly newly on the day of the past epidemiology (Li et al, 2020; Rubin et a l-album. The parameterized Poisson function is fixed and r
T
(48):IP ret (& amp; amp; gt; & amp; gt; gt; gt; amp; gt; gt; gt; gt; gt; gt; gt; amp; right; right) = FracIThe degree of movement and the return of infection propagation in time T are as follows:
Here
teeth
Subsbarized variables showing propagation by COVID-19 (R)
T
) Intra crack
Data availability
this
References
- this
- I
- Is shown.
- I
- It is.
- I
- I
- this is
- And β
- And β
- Take the average value on both sides as follows:
- gt; _i + excess & amp; amp; gt; gt; gt; _5 excess & amp; gt; gt; gt
- Thus, all factors, including the COVID-19 CPVI vulnerability index, are unchanged over time.
- And other observation and no n-observable factors Z
- Draw. Only the difference between the transmission remains, and the difference in the means of transportation and the interaction.
- Table 1 The result of the main component analysis.
- Table 1 The result of the main component analysis.
- Table 1 The result of the main component analysis.
- The CPVI index in each area was calculated using a weighting method based on the distributed coefficient of each PC. Then, the cpvi value of each of the five minutes was divided into five vulnerability. FIG. 1 shows the selected area and the corresponding vulnerability value. This map shows areas with high unemployment and poverty rates (Mississippi, South Carolina, etc.), areas with a large population of ethnic minorities and poor quality of air (such as California), and the population of the elderly (Florida). , North Carolina, Alabama, etc.), some reasons, such as areas with a large population of acquired diseases (such as New York City), and areas where the quality of the air is poor and medical resources are insufficient (such as the Great Lake coastal area) It has identified the highest gender area. Conversely, the level of air pollution is low, and the CPVI is low in areas where the age structure is young, for example, in the area around the center plains. This pattern is consistent with the COVID-19 Pandemic Vulnerability Dashboard Map (date: January 07, 2020) published by the Institute of Health Sciences.
- The CPVI value is divided into five values based on the 5-minute value, 5 is a more vulnerable society, and 1 is a more vulnerable society. The white part indicates an environment without data.
- In this study, effective reproduction (R)
- ) Is indicating the possibility of transfer of COVID-19 (see the method of excluding this method). Figure 2 changes R
- Rice. 1: A spatial distribution of a different vulnerability level determined by the CPVI index.
- The distribution of the CPVI index does not match any data contained. For example, in the California region, individual income and educational levels are higher than the US average. Therefore, the vulnerability is low when classified by social economic characteristics. Finally, they are classified as vulnerability level 5, which is actually considered to be the highest vulnerability level. Similarly, Florida has a substantial medical facility, but there are still many vulnerabilities level 4 or 5 counties. In fact, this discovery indicates that CPVI can consider it by combining multiple characteristics, rather than sorting out the neighborhood with just one parameters, such as a soci o-economic and pandemic moment.
- T
- T The CPVI index in each area was calculated using a weighting method based on the distributed coefficient of each PC. Then, the cpvi value of each of the five minutes was divided into five vulnerability. FIG. 1 shows the selected area and the corresponding vulnerability value. This map shows areas with high unemployment and poverty rates (Mississippi, South Carolina, etc.), areas with a large population of ethnic minorities and poor quality of air (such as California), and the population of the elderly (Florida). , North Carolina, Alabama, etc.), some reasons, such as areas with a large population of acquired diseases (such as New York City), and areas where the quality of the air is poor and medical resources are insufficient (such as the Great Lake coastal area) It has identified the highest gender area. Conversely, the level of air pollution is low, and the CPVI is low in areas where the age structure is young, for example, in the area around the center plains. This pattern is consistent with the COVID-19 Pandemic Vulnerability Dashboard Map (date: January 07, 2020) published by the Institute of Health Sciences.
- The CPVI value is divided into five values based on the 5-minute value, 5 is a more vulnerable society, and 1 is a more vulnerable society. The white part indicates an environment without data.
- In this study, effective reproduction (R)
- ) Is indicating the possibility of transfer of COVID-19 (see the method of excluding this method). Figure 2 changes R
- About each environment from June 1st to August 31, 2020 (June 1, July 1, August 1, August 31). Index R in 310 districts, June 1, 2020
- It was ≥ 1 (high infection). In fact, R in 36 districts, 85 % of the surveyed area
- A 36 districts, which correspond to 85 % of the possibility of receiving), has been recorded. Of the 4-day data, R
- ≥ ≥ 1 or more (that is, 559 districts) July 1, 2020. This number accounted for more than 50 % of the survey district. The counties, which had more casualties on June 1 and July 1, 2020, matched the counties whose CPVI was the highest value (Fig. 2A, B), California, Florida, East Central Club. I was concentrated on the coastal area. The number and distribution of the county, which recorded the highest value on August 1 and August 31, were also 227 and 271, respectively. The most common was the East Central, and the smallest was the western part (Fig. 2C and D).
- R
- From June 1st to August 31, 2020, 102. 856 in the prefecture (1118 county* 92). The number of days in the prefecture will be a high transfer in the following cases.
- It is 1 or more. In order to know the outline of vulnerability propagation during the survey period, the number of days of the highest propagation was calculated by the level of vulnerabilities. Table 2 shows the ratio of the day when the infection rate was the highest in all days in the surveyed prefectures. When tabulated on a monthly basis, the ratio of high infection rates increased from June to July, decreasing from July to August. The priority of this change is relatively close to the US pandemic test (Figure S1). In fact, the percentage of high infection days increased as the value of the vulnerability for each month, and in general, as the value of the vulnerability increased. In particular, the fifth number of lesions remained higher than 50 % in both June and July (53, 66 % in June, 58, 72 % in July).
- T
- Fig. 3 compares the number of days when infection propagation was the most frequently transmitted at each vulnerability level from June 1 to August 31. From this result, it was found that there is a positive correlation between the COVID-19 infection rate and the vulnerability level. Apart from this, as the value of the vulnerability increased, the number of days of the infection increased the most.
- Brown solid lines indicate the significance of the median, greenish triangles the significance of the mean.
- US. 4: Composition of short-term mobility for different values of vulnerability.
- On the other hand, the interm indicator in the pre-closing stage fell to its lowest value on April 12. The group of districts with the shortest vulnerability recorded a fall of 62, 72%, while the group of districts with greater vulnerability recorded a fall of 66, 36%. The latter group fell 5, 50% more than the first group. Again, an interesting nuance is that the interm-block period was higher in the more vulnerable prefectures than in the least vulnerable ones, but the opposite trend was observed during and after the block period (Figure 4B).
- T
- T
- Level A to 1 to 5 of vulnerability. The degree of movement includes both urban movements and inte r-city movements. All moving levels are the average of each level, and is smoothed on a seve n-day slide average. The Pieron correlation coefforcements between the degree of movement and the highly infected area are statistically significant (p)
- T
- T.
- Table 3 Model coefficient with fixing effect of Intram and INTERM for each vulnerability level.
- T
- T < SPAN> In this task, mobility (including intrams and interums) is defined as a relationship with medium mobility during the US normal period from January 1st to January 21, 2020 ("Method"). See the details in the section.) The higher the mobility during the block period and after the block period, the higher the recovery of the mobility. Based on this, the empirical interpretation of the vulnerability and mobility relationships is as follows: Vulnerability is integrated (mutual integrated) in the same scheme of all fiv e-stage vulnerabilities. The higher the level, the lower the level of mobility recovery.
- Rice. 5: Average movement per day, number of districts, R per day
- ≥ 1 (that is, area with a high infection rate). From June 1 to August 31, it differs for each level of vulnerability.
- After examining the above relevance, the relevance of mobility and R) was evaluated using a fixed effect model (formula (14)).
- Was considered each district. Obviously, the Intram coefficient and the Interm coefficient were significantly positive at all vulnerabilities (p)
- In other words, both Intram and Interm accelerated the COVID-19 infection in the United States during the survey period. Furthermore, in areas where the vulnerability level is 1 to 4, the coefficient of Intram and Interm is equivalent to the coefficient of 5 areas of vulnerability, and the effect of Intram is nearly twice as large as the Interm effect.
Acknowledgements
Table 3 Model coefficient with fixing effect of Intram and INTERM for each vulnerability level.
Author information
- T
Authors and Affiliations
- T In this work, mobility (including intrams and interums) is defined as a relationship with the medium mobility during the US normal period from January 1 to January 21, 2020 ("Method" section. See the details). The higher the mobility during the block period and after the block period, the higher the recovery of the mobility. Based on this, the empirical interpretation of the vulnerability and mobility relationships is as follows: Vulnerability is integrated (mutual integrated) in the same scheme of all fiv e-stage vulnerabilities. The higher the level, the lower the level of mobility recovery.
- Rice. 5: Average movement per day, number of districts, R per day
- ≥ 1 (that is, area with a high infection rate). From June 1 to August 31, it differs for each level of vulnerability.
- After examining the above relevance, the relevance of mobility and R) was evaluated using a fixed effect model (formula (14)).
- Was considered each district. Obviously, the Intram coefficient and the Interm coefficient were significantly positive at all vulnerabilities (p)
- In other words, both Intram and Interm accelerated the COVID-19 infection in the United States during the survey period. Furthermore, in areas where the vulnerability level is 1 to 4, the coefficient of Intram and Interm is equivalent to the coefficient of 5 areas of vulnerability, and the effect of Intram is nearly twice as large as the Interm effect.
- In addition, mobility R